This is the last week of the normal session for the Supreme Court. Their rulings this week will turn up the heat for the 2012 elections. They still have about half a dozen additional cases on their docket to rule on, so today we may hear those decisions paired with the immigration or Obamacare decision, or we may just hear the decisions on those cases and leave the rest of the week for immigration and Obamacare. The fact of the matter is, not only do we not know what the decision will be, we also don’t know when it will come down. The Supreme Court is very, very good at keeping their rulings and release dates under wraps!
What the eventual decision from SCOTUS this week on Obamacare will do is either void President Obama’s signature on March 23, 2010, override part of it, or affirm the law as the rule of the land. Some are betting that the law will likely be shot down. I am still betting on a partial override. In particular, I believe the Court will strike the individual mandate and then let congress flail in the wind with the aftershocks of such a ruling because both sides agree that the bill is not financially feasible without the mandate.
So whatever happens there will be a firestorm. Republicans will shout we need to strike the whole bill (should SCOTUS not do so) and Democrats will vow to pass something similar back onto the books. The political season into the November elections is starting is about to start to heat up. All that we need to happen now is for SCOTUS to light the fire!
What do you think will happen? Is this week a key week for the 2012 elections?
